Peter Hartcher and the SMH have got their hands on polling information that indicates Labor under Beazley would secure a 41% primary vote, with Rudd at 48%. This is wishful thinking - the electorate as a whole is not going to reward Labor for either delivering them another 'risky' option in Rudd or tired (and lacking in support from his own party)old Beazley once again.
The only winner out of the ongoing leadership dramas is Howard and the Coalition. The problem that Labor faces is trying to get quality politicians out of its union powerbrokers - faction controlled party system. Union lackeys and career Laborites rather than community / business leaders are what Federal Labor has been recieving for years. Add to this the factor that they have to tempt recruits away from all - conquering state Labor governments to the hard yards of federal opposition. It is a difficult situation, and a situation that sees a weak shadow cabinet and weak opposition leader when compared to the Coalition.
I cannot see how Labor will be able to improve to an election winning situation by the 2007 election. Beazley has been mortally wounded, so even if he wins his chances of pulling off a surprise victory in his third attempt have greatly deterioted. Rudd will surely be targeted as a 'risky option' - with plenty of reminders of Latham, Labor's last 'risky option'. He is also yoked with the same dodgy policies and unhelpful situation - IR fading fast, AWB a non-issue and the economy still firing.
The unavoidable truth for Labor is that either leader will be heading to yet another Labor election defeat. The only question will be how this leadership battle and 2007 election loss will affect Labor in the medium to long term...
The only winner out of the ongoing leadership dramas is Howard and the Coalition. The problem that Labor faces is trying to get quality politicians out of its union powerbrokers - faction controlled party system. Union lackeys and career Laborites rather than community / business leaders are what Federal Labor has been recieving for years. Add to this the factor that they have to tempt recruits away from all - conquering state Labor governments to the hard yards of federal opposition. It is a difficult situation, and a situation that sees a weak shadow cabinet and weak opposition leader when compared to the Coalition.
I cannot see how Labor will be able to improve to an election winning situation by the 2007 election. Beazley has been mortally wounded, so even if he wins his chances of pulling off a surprise victory in his third attempt have greatly deterioted. Rudd will surely be targeted as a 'risky option' - with plenty of reminders of Latham, Labor's last 'risky option'. He is also yoked with the same dodgy policies and unhelpful situation - IR fading fast, AWB a non-issue and the economy still firing.
The unavoidable truth for Labor is that either leader will be heading to yet another Labor election defeat. The only question will be how this leadership battle and 2007 election loss will affect Labor in the medium to long term...
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