Thursday, June 22, 2006

the long break

Parliament is packing up for its winter break... will be interesting to see which issues fall off the radar in the 6 weeks away from Canberra. I am particularly interested to see if the everyday Australian will still be interested in Industrial Relations next May. Beazley can definetly score points attacking some of the abuses of work choices by employers around the country - but will the voter care after 11 months of media saturation? Desensitising is bound to occur - the GST was a big issue at first, but a non issue after Australians realised it really didn't affect them that much. Only time will tell...
I was contemplating the future of the Labor party today - post Beazley. This situation would probably occur upon a 3rd defeat at the hands of Howard next year. At the moment Julia Gillard and Kevin Rudd would appear to be the heir apparents - but Beazley powerbrokers such as Wayne Swan, Stephen Smith and Stephen Conroy are yet to reveal their post Beazley cards. Gillard comes across as popular with the public, but I would be dubious if that was reciprocated in the party room. Could a leader from Labor's left faction truly appeal to the voters - or simply maintain the faithful voters and labor elites?
Considering Bill Shorten will be entering parliament after the next election, it may be more likely that we see strong support for one of the 'Roosters' or a member from the right leap frog their more high profile counterparts.

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